BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
East Carolina 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
East Carolina 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
14.91 |
20.95 (+6.04) |
23.40 |
17.39 (-6.01) |
18.73 (+1.33) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
264.45 |
257.17 (-7.28) |
364.40 |
411.17 (+46.77) |
353.42 (-57.75) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.23 |
3.90 (-0.34) |
5.33 |
5.89 (+0.56) |
5.14 (-0.75) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
24.45 |
29.62 (+5.16) |
29.00 |
35.73 (+6.73) |
33.44 (-2.29) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
359.00 |
392.23 (+33.23) |
437.40 |
536.73 (+99.33) |
482.54 (-54.19) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.56 |
6.01 (+0.45) |
5.63 |
6.92 (+1.29) |
6.58 (-0.34) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.3 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Norfolk State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 42-3 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Old Dominion |
20.12 |
31.27 |
+11.15 |
51.40 |
32.12% |
W 20-14 |
2-0 |
| 2024-09-14 |
App State |
31.91 |
17.33 |
-14.58 |
49.24 |
73.38% |
L 19-21 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
@Liberty |
17.49 |
37.51 |
+20.02 |
55.00 |
17.89% |
L 24-35 |
2-2 |
| 2024-09-28 |
UTSA |
30.61 |
23.12 |
-7.49 |
53.73 |
62.02% |
W 30-20 |
3-2 |
| 2024-10-05 |
@Charlotte |
20.31 |
25.98 |
+5.67 |
46.29 |
40.90% |
L 24-55 |
3-3 |
| 2024-10-19 |
@Army |
14.39 |
40.58 |
+26.19 |
54.97 |
8.00% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-10-26 |
Temple |
27.80 |
22.42 |
-5.38 |
50.22 |
58.62% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-08 |
Florida Atlantic |
21.63 |
27.65 |
+6.03 |
49.28 |
40.34% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-15 |
@Tulsa |
26.89 |
20.22 |
-6.67 |
47.12 |
60.70% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
@North Texas |
31.56 |
48.64 |
+17.08 |
80.20 |
22.61% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
Navy |
18.63 |
32.78 |
+14.15 |
51.42 |
27.31% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
5.05% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 4-8 |
22.16% |
5.05% |
94.95% |
| 5-7 |
35.63% |
27.21% |
72.79% |
| 6-6 |
26.38% |
62.84% |
37.16% |
| 7-5 |
9.29% |
89.21% |
10.79% |
| 8-4 |
1.42% |
98.50% |
1.50% |
| 9-3 |
0.08% |
99.92% |
0.08% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.15% |
| 2-10 |
1.75% |
| 3-9 |
7.22% |
| 4-8 |
17.51% |
| 5-7 |
25.72% |
| 6-6 |
24.21% |
| 7-5 |
15.30% |
| 8-4 |
6.23% |
| 9-3 |
1.63% |
| 10-2 |
0.26% |
| 11-1 |
0.03% |
| 12-0 |
0.00% |